A Life In Numbers

So, we have the much anticipated Pre Budget Review and the FTSE has it’s greatest day’s rise. Are the two connected or pure coincidence? Was the rise due to the budget announcements being better than expected or not as bad as the market feared? Or was it just Obama’s new finance chief?

For SMEs the most important elements were these:-

VAT changes (short and long term) - it’s debatable how much benefit the reduction will have. Many services companies rely on the VAT element coming in on their sales (and not paid out on salaries) to boost their cashflow in the month and this potentially reduces that element. If you’re spending a lot on stock, assets and general expense then it feasibly reduces your short term outgoings but again, if you’re profit making then the leveraged impact on less cash coming in from sales may hurt you.

For the accountants it creates a whole lot of extra administration and careful checking, especially in the transition periods. It’s going to mean a considerable number of tweaks to business models, accounting systems and invoice systems and there’ll be lots of errors to chase down. And certain companies will use the potential for error to justify delaying invoice payments. In some respects the worst element will be when the rates change back again and just when companies have got used to a lower payment then all the prices will increase again. And potentially up to a 20% rate.

Over time, for sizeable SMEs and companies, VAT is something of a wash through the accounts but it does interfere with the cashflow. It should ultimately benefit the small entrepreneurs and one-man-bands who are below VAT registration thresholds along with their customers, providing they can administer the changes.

Overall, I’m sure it looked good on paper and the economic theorists can wax lyrical about the macro-economic impacts but I remain to be convinced about the real benefits for SMEs.

Verdict - make sure you change your systems, invoices and models to reflect the new rate and check everyone else’s invoices carefully

National Insurance - Ouch! Of course, this isn’t a tax is it? Even the name tells you it’s a contribution. Your way of giving back. At least we have until 2010 but this still stings and adds an even greater cost to employment as the 0.5% is going on employees and employers. This will take employers rates to 13.3% on top of salaries.

Verdict - there comes a point when you have to question the costs of employment (with requisite recruitment costs, NI payments, benefits, pensions, administration, employment rights issues, notice periods and employment insurance) and consider whether it’s far better to simply bring in flexible resources which might seem a little more costly at first glance but end up as much better value when everything else is taken into account.

Corporation Tax - generously deferring the 1% rise for small businesses. So at least you’ve got something to look forward to if you can claw your way to profit in the current market. This doesn’t really do a whole lot to encourage entrepreneurship in the country and generate more employment opportunities.

Verdict - make as much profit as you can now before the rise comes in (simple as that!)

Finance and Lending - at least there seems to be some desire to get more funding into the SME sector. Unfortunately, there’s still the massive number of governement bodies advising and guiding SMEs through the maze of which they form an inherent part as highlighted by Doug Richards in his report last year. In reality this is likely to be an expansion of the existing Small Firms Loan Guarantee Scheme which is proving more popular than ever with the banks. They seem more keen on lending when they have a Government backed guarantee. If the promised Small Business Finance Scheme with guaranteed bank lending up to £1m (compared to the SFLG £250k) is introduced in the new year then this could present quite a useful line of credit. It will all depend on the qualification criteria and the application process.

Verdict - check to see if your company qualifies for any of the lending but be prepared to spend 3 to 6 months in the application process.

Business Tax repayments - a subtle but important change which essentially has the Chancellor telling HMRC to go easy on companies struggling to pay their tax bills (including corporation tax, PAYE & NI and VAT). This is actually an area that could be of real benefit to growing companies, especially on the PAYE and NI front which forms a huge (often 50%) part of their cost base and is usually expected within the month after salaries are paid. Obviously the intention is that the tax is all still paid but there is supposedly more scope for agreeing payment plans and terms.

Verdict - if you can afford to pay your tax then you need to pay it. If you’re struggling, then talk to HMRC and quote the budget review. It will be interesting to hear the responses.

Entrepreneurs generally - having previously taken away the Business Asset Taper Relief (replaced by the inferior Entrepreneurs Relief and Capital Gains changes) the chancellor continues to show a disinclination to support and encourage entrepreneurial risk takers. Increasing higher rate taxes, taking away personal allowances, reviewing offshore tax statuses (stati?), capping pension funds and increasing employment taxes all hurt those seeking to build businesses and generate employment. The whole point for many entrepreneurs is that they are willing to take a risk because they see a greater reward. And whilst there may be other non-monetary benefits such as the pride, excitement and challenge of building something against the odds and taking others on that journey with you, ultimately it’s the monetary gains (and what they can give you) that drive many entrepreneurs. Capping and taxing the amount they can make could potentially drive many overseas to friendlier economies or drive them to get proper jobs in other companies (potentially leading to the demise of those companies due to their disruptive natures).

It’s the entrepreneurs that can pull this country out of the jaws of recession if they are given the freedom to do so. This budget gives with one hand but takes away with quite a few others and it will be some time before the smoke clears and the mirrors reflect what’s really happening. Until then we’ll all have to pop a few nurofen and get back to studying the small print.